February 2025 - Agile IFA

This year, World Sleep Day will take place on the 14 March.

The event encourages you to prioritise your sleep and learn more about the incredible biological process that you spend around a third of our life taking part in.

So, if you want to learn more about how and why we rest, read on to discover five interesting insights into the science of sleep.

1. No one knows why we sleep

Scientists used to believe that the brain used sleep to flush out toxins, but new research suggests that the opposite might be true and that exercise may be more effective at helping the brain get rid of damaging molecules.

While we aren’t sure why we sleep, scientists do know how important it is.

Sleep affects almost every type of tissue and system in the body, so a chronic lack of sleep or poor-quality sleep can increase your risk of health problems such as:

Diabetes
Obesity
Depression
High blood pressure
Cardiovascular disease

If you are having trouble sleeping, it is important to make changes to your lifestyle or see a doctor so you can avoid these potential negative effects.

2. You can’t catch up on sleep

Adults should have seven to nine hours of sleep every night.

We’ve all been guilty of sleeping in longer on one day to make up for a night of lost sleep. However, a recent study found that sleeping extra to compensate for lost rest decreased participants’ reaction times and their ability to focus.

It’s better to practice good sleep hygiene by waking up and going to bed at the same time every night, including the weekends. And if you ever wake up tired, try solving it with a nap later in the day rather than a lie-in.

3. Sleep may help your social life

We’ve all avoided a social gathering now and again because we feel tired – but did you know that a lack of sleep can actively harm your social life?

Several sleep studies have concluded that people are less sociable when they’re deprived of rest, as well as less empathetic towards others.

This is because the brain has a network that acts like an alarm system that goes off whenever someone is near us. On no sleep, this system is highly sensitive and encourages us to stay further away from other people.

So, if you often find yourself irritable around others or wanting to stay away, it might be a good idea to consider whether you are getting enough sleep.

4. Your brain consolidates memories as you sleep

Recent research found that two substages of sleep help you to avoid “catastrophic forgetting”, where your brain rewrites or distorts one memory when new ones are created.

While your pupils are contracted during sleep, the brain replays and consolidates new memories, and when your pupils are dilated, it replays older ones.

This groundbreaking research has helped scientists understand how your brain separates new knowledge in a way that doesn’t interfere with the information already in your mind.

5. There are some strange ways to fall asleep

There are many common tips to help you fall asleep at night, such as avoiding caffeine or turning off electronic devices before bed.

But if you are still struggling, there are also some stranger ways to help you drift off.

Curl your toes

Repeatedly curling and uncurling your toes may help you fall asleep.

This simple exercise relaxes your muscles and focuses your concentration on a single part of your body, turning it into an easy meditative action.

Don’t sleep

If anxiety over how long it takes you to fall asleep is keeping you awake, you might benefit from trying not to sleep.

Lying in bed and trying to keep yourself awake all night often paradoxically leads to you unintentionally dozing off without focusing on the anxiety keeping you up.

Get out of bed

Similarly, if you’re struggling to sleep, forcing it won’t help. Sometimes, it’s better to get out of bed and try your hand at a different activity for a while before trying again.

Doing something that relaxes you – such as reading a book or completing a crossword – can help to encourage feelings of tiredness so you can drift off faster when you climb back into bed.

Worry on purpose

It’s important not to ignore the worries keeping you up at night.

Instead of dismissing them altogether, carve out some time to consider your concerns earlier in your day. Spend ten minutes writing down your fears or speaking to a loved one about them so they aren’t plaguing your mind when it’s time to rest.

Exhaust your mind rather than your body

Regular exercise can help you sleep. However, exercising just before bed doesn’t guarantee a good night’s sleep, because your brain is still awake no matter how tired your body is.

Instead, try to tire yourself out mentally by teaching yourself something new, solving a puzzle, or indulging in your favourite hobby.

Concerns around potential trade wars following President Trump’s inauguration weighed on investment markets in January 2025, but there was positive news too. Read on to discover some of the factors that may have affected the performance of your investments.

Keep in mind that short-term market movements are part of investing and taking a long-term view is an important investment strategy for many people.

UK

Headline figures were positive for the UK.

UK inflation fell to 2.5% in the 12 months to December 2024, data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) shows. According to the Guardian, there’s a 74% chance the Bank of England (BoE) will cut interest rates in February as a result.

The ONS also reported the UK economy returned to growth in November 2024, as GDP increased by 0.1%. While it’s only a small rise, it follows three months of stagnation.

What’s more, the International Monetary Fund expects the UK to grow by 1.6% in 2025 and be the third-strongest G7 economy in terms of growth.

In encouraging news for the chancellor, at the World Economic Forum, PwC revealed that the UK is the second-most attractive country for investment, only falling behind the US. It marks the highest rank for the UK in the 28 years PwC has carried out the survey.

Sharp rises in borrowing led to the UK bond market making headlines.

On 8 January, UK government debt hit its highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, just a day after 30-year bond yields were at the highest level since 1998. Bonds rising could lead to mortgage lenders increasing rates and could affect the value of pensions, particularly those who are nearing retirement and are more likely to hold bonds.

Markets calmed down the following day but continued to experience ups and downs throughout January.

After the turmoil in the bond market, the FTSE 100 – an index of the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange – was down 0.9% on 10 January. The biggest faller was financial group Schroders, which saw a dip of 4.3%.

Yet, just weeks later, the FTSE 100 hit a record high and exceeded 8,500 points for the first time on 17 January. The boost of around 1% was linked to speculation that there would be several interest rate cuts this year thanks to falling inflation.

However, many businesses still aren’t confident.

According to the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), confidence among British businesses fell to the lowest level since former prime minister Liz Truss’s mini-Budget in September 2022. The pessimism was linked to chancellor Rachel Reeves’s £40 billion tax increases, which have placed a large burden on businesses. The BCC survey suggests 55% of firms plan to raise prices as a result.

Similarly, a survey from the BoE suggests more than half of UK firms plan to cut jobs or raise prices in response to employer National Insurance contributions increasing in April 2025.

The effects of the chancellor’s Budget were also evident in S&P Global’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).

The index fell to an 11-month low in December and into contraction territory. Rob Dobson, director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, noted there were also sharp staffing cuts as some companies acted now to “restructure operations in advance of rises in employer National Insurance and minimum wage levels”.

Europe

Data paints a gloomy picture for the eurozone.

As expected, following an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank to boost the flagging economy, inflation across the eurozone increased. In the 12 months to December 2024, inflation was 2.4%.

Germany – the largest economy in the bloc – reported GDP falling 0.2% in 2024 when compared to the previous year, and it follows a decline of 0.3% in 2023.

According to an index from sentix, the challenges Germany is facing are negatively affecting investor morale across the eurozone. Indeed, investor confidence fell to a one-year low at the start of 2025. Germany is set to hold a snap general election in February, which could ease some of the uncertainty investors are feeling.

PMI figures from the Hamburg Commercial Bank fail to offer investors optimism.

While the eurozone service sector improved, it was still in decline at the end of 2024. In addition, the construction sector continues to contract and new orders fell markedly, suggesting that a recovery isn’t on the horizon.

US

Dominating the headlines in the US in January was the inauguration of Donald Trump, which took place on 20 January. Trump will serve a second term as US president and promised a “golden age” for America in his inaugural address.

In the first days of his presidency, Trump continued to make similar trade threats to those he made during his campaign. He suggested a 10% tariff on Chinese-made goods arriving in the US could be implemented as early as 1 February 2025. Trump also hinted that he was considering levies on imports from the EU, as well as a potential 25% tariff on the US’s two largest trading partners, Mexico and Canada.

According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, inflation increased to 2.9% in the 12 months to December 2024, up from 2.7% a month earlier. The inflation data could mean the Federal Reserve is less likely to cut interest rates in the coming months.

Indeed, on 13 January, Wall Street fell when it opened as traders expect interest rates to remain where they are.

Technology-focused index Nasdaq fell 1.3% and the S&P 500, which tracks the 500 largest companies listed on stock exchanges in the US, lost 0.8%. Pharmaceutical firm Moderna experienced the largest slump when share prices fell 24% after the company cut its outlook due to shrinking demand for its Covid-19 vaccine.

Markets faced more turmoil on 27 January. The emergence of a low-cost Chinese AI model, DeepSeek, led to concerns about the sustainability of the US artificial intelligence boom.

According to Bloomberg, shares in US chipmaker Nvidia fell by 17% and erased $589 billion (£473 billion) from the company’s market capitalisation – the biggest in US stock market history.

Other US technology giants saw share prices fall too. Microsoft, Meta Platforms and Alphabet, which is the parent company of Google, saw losses between 2.2% and 3.6%. AI server makers saw even sharper drops, with Dell Technologies and Super Micro Computer sliding by 7.2% and 8.9% respectively.

PMI data from S&P Global indicates business could pick up at the start of 2024. In fact, the service sector posted its biggest growth in output and new orders in December 2024 since May 2022. The jump was linked to firms anticipating more business-friendly policies under the Trump administration.

Asia

Threats of trade tariffs from the US in 2025 meant Chinese manufacturers rushed to fill orders at the end of 2024. Indeed, exports increased by 10.7% in December 2024 when compared to a year earlier, according to official customs data. With exports outpacing imports, China’s trade surplus was just under $1 trillion (£0.8 trillion) in 2024.

China’s National Bureau of Statistics also reported the economy hit its official target of growing by 5% in 2024.

Chinese manufacturer BYD could be on track to overtake US technology giant Tesla this year. BYD revealed it sold 1.76 million battery electric cars in 2024 falling only behind Elon Musk’s company, which sold 1.79 million. In fact, when including hybrid vehicles, BYD surpassed Tesla.

However, the new year didn’t start positively in the Chinese stock market. On 2 January, weak manufacturing data contributed to a sell-off of Chinese stock. The Chinese Stock Exchange fell by 2.7%, and the Chinese yuan also fell to a 14-month low against the US dollar.

Please note:

This blog is for general information only and does not constitute financial advice, which should be based on your individual circumstances. The information is aimed at retail clients only.

The value of your investments (and any income from them) can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Investments should be considered over the longer term and should fit in with your overall attitude to risk and financial circumstances.

A cashflow model is a valuable tool that lets you understand how the value of your estate and individual assets might change in the future. But, to get the most out of it, you need to look beyond the numbers.

A cashflow model provides a graphical representation of all your assets, such as investments, property and pension, as well as income, expenditures and debt. It forecasts how each of these will change over time.

To start, you’ll need to input information into a cashflow model, such as the value of your assets now, your household spending, or how much you’re contributing to your pension.

To calculate long-term changes, you may need to make certain assumptions too. You might factor in regular wage increases or the projected returns of your pension.

While the outcomes of a cashflow model cannot be guaranteed, it could provide you with a useful overview of your finances and how they might change throughout your lifetime.

With so much data, it’s easy to get bogged down in the numbers. Yet, moving past the figures could help you turn goals into reality and prepare for the unexpected.

Combining a cashflow model with your goals could help form an effective financial plan

A cashflow model provides a snapshot of your finances, and financial planning can help tie this to your goals.

When you think about why you’re saving through a pension, it’s probably the lifestyle you want to enjoy that comes to mind, rather than the figure you need to save.

So, you might think “I want to retire at 60 and maintain my current lifestyle” rather than “I want to save £500,000 in my pension”.

As a result, it’s important to think about what your lifestyle goals are when using a cashflow model if you want to get the most out of it. When you stop working, your outgoings often change, so in this scenario, you might calculate how much you’d need to maintain your current lifestyle.

You can then add this information to the cashflow model and see what would happen if you withdrew this income from your pension from the age of 60 – is there a chance your pension could fall short? Could you retire sooner and still be financially secure?

By combining your goals with a long-term view of your finances, you can work with your financial planner to create an effective financial plan that’s tailored to you.

A cashflow model could identify potential weaknesses in your current financial plan

As well as goals, your cashflow model can be used to help you address concerns you might have about your financial security and events outside of your control.

For example, if your family rely on your income, you might worry about how you’d cope financially if you were unable to work. Updating the information used to create the cashflow model could help you understand the short- and long-term impact.

You might find you have enough saved in an emergency fund to cover six months of expenses before you’d have to use other assets. So, to create an additional safety net, you may take out appropriate financial protection that would begin to pay a regular income after six months.

Taking an extended break from work may affect long-term goals as well. You might halt pension contributions, which could affect your income when you reach retirement, or use savings that had been earmarked for another use.

Much like how a cashflow model could help you understand your goals, it can also be useful when you want to identify risks or weaknesses in your current financial plan.

A cashflow model could help you make informed financial decisions now

One of the benefits of cashflow modelling is that it may identify potential financial gaps that could affect your future. Being aware of these sooner often means you’re in a better position to take steps to bridge the gaps or adjust your plan.

Let’s say you discover there could be a potential shortfall in retirement because you aren’t contributing enough to your pension. If you identify this 20 years before you plan to retire, a small, regular increase to your contributions could be enough to keep you on track without making changes to your retirement plans. However, if you don’t realise until you reach the milestone, you may have fewer options.

Alternatively, if you find you’re in a better financial position than you expected, you might want to adjust your lifestyle now or update long-term plans.

After finding out you’re comfortably on track to have “enough” saved for retirement, you might decide to start building a nest egg for your child to provide a helping hand when they reach adulthood. If you’re confident in your financial future, you might also feel secure enough to increase your disposable income now and start doing more of the things you enjoy.

Contact us to talk about your long-term finances

Please get in touch if you’d like to talk about creating a long-term financial plan that focuses on your aspirations and addresses concerns you might have about the future.

Please note:

This blog is for general information only and does not constitute financial advice, which should be based on your individual circumstances. The information is aimed at retail clients only.

A pension is a long-term investment not normally accessible until 55 (57 from April 2028). The fund value may fluctuate and can go down, which would have an impact on the level of pension benefits available. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

The Financial Conduct Authority does not regulate cashflow planning.

While financial challenges often come up when those nearing retirement are asked about their concerns, emotional obstacles could be just as important. A financial plan might include looking at areas like your pensions and investments, but it could help you emotionally prepare for retirement as well.

Here are five ways a financial plan could improve your wellbeing and confidence when you retire.

1. Financial confidence could ease concerns when you retire

One of the key concerns that weighs on those nearing retirement is a financial one. According to This is Money in January 2025, more than half of over-55s fear they’ll run out of money later in life. Just a quarter of people believe they have enough to see them through retirement.

Worrying about running out of money could mean you’re not able to fully relax and enjoy your retirement. A financial plan could help you understand how you might create a sustainable income that will last a lifetime.

So, taking control of your finances before you give up work could improve your overall wellbeing and mean you feel far more prepared emotionally for taking the next step.

2. It provides a chance to consider what you’re looking forward to

A financial plan doesn’t just focus on your assets, but what you want to get out of life. A retirement plan is the perfect opportunity to consider what you’re looking forward to in retirement and address any apprehensions you might have.

You might start by setting out what your ideal week in retirement would look like – are you keen to see your family and friends more now you’re not working, or would you like to join a class to develop a hobby?

While you’re doing this, you might discover concerns as well. For example, some retirees may worry about feeling lonely if they enjoy the social aspect of work. As a result, they might ensure their retirement income provides enough disposable income to regularly go out with loved ones or try an activity that allows them to meet new people.

3. Financial security could mean you’re able to enjoy big-ticket expenses

It’s not just the day-to-day retirement lifestyle you might be looking forward to, there might be one-off experiences or purchases that you’d like to spend some of your money on.

If you love to explore new places, you might dream about taking an extended holiday to exotic locations now you’re no longer tied to work. Or, if you’re a keen gardener, you might want to explore purchasing an extra plot of land to turn into an outdoor oasis.

Whatever your big-ticket plans, incorporating them into your financial plan could help you understand what’s possible and get you excited for the future.

4. A financial plan could address retirement trepidations

Worrying about your future could dampen retirement celebrations. So, addressing these concerns and understanding how you might create a safety net could take a weight off your shoulders.

As you near retirement, you might worry about how your partner would cope financially if you passed away first, or how you’d fund care services if you needed support.

While a financial plan can’t prevent some things from happening, it could allow you to identify areas of concern and take steps to reduce the effect they could have. So, in the above cases, you might purchase a joint annuity with your pension so you know your partner would continue to receive a reliable income if you passed away and set aside some money to act as a care fund.

5. Working with a financial planner could allow you to take a hands-off approach

Managing your finances in retirement can be very different to handling your household budget when you are working. You might not receive a regular, reliable income, and, for retirees, the change can be difficult to manage or they simply want to take a hands-off approach.

Working with a financial planner means you can rely on someone else to handle your finances on your behalf and inform you if changes are needed.

It could lead to a happier retirement that allows you to focus on living the retirement lifestyle you’ve been looking forward to.

Contact us to talk about how to achieve your desired retirement lifestyle

If you’re nearing retirement, get in touch to talk about what you’re looking forward to and concerns you might have. We could work with you to create a financial plan that gives you confidence and means you’re able to focus on what’s really important – enjoying the next chapter of your life.

Please note:

This blog is for general information only and does not constitute financial advice, which should be based on your individual circumstances. The information is aimed at retail clients only.

The tax implications of pension withdrawals will be based on your individual circumstances. Thresholds, percentage rates, and tax legislation may change in subsequent Finance Acts.

We’re only weeks into 2025, and it’s already been one filled with market volatility and uncertainty. At times like this, being part of a crowd might feel comforting, but following the investment decisions of others could lead to choices that aren’t right for you.

Political and economic uncertainty means investors may already have experienced the value of their investments falling this year. In fact, towards the end of January, you might have been affected by the value of US technology stocks falling sharply.

The sudden emergence of Chinese AI app DeepSeek, which rivals US AI technology at a fraction of the cost, led to some investors questioning whether the US’s dominance in the sector would continue.

According to the BBC, following the release, Nvidia, which makes chips for AI, saw share prices fall 17% on 27 January – the biggest single-day loss in US market history. The next day, the share price began to recover but remained significantly below where it had been the previous week.

It wasn’t only Nvidia that was affected either, many other US technology businesses experienced a fall in share prices. Indeed, the Nasdaq – a technology-focused US index – was down 3.5% when markets opened on 27 January.

With other investors seemingly selling off their US technology stocks, you might have been tempted to follow the crowd and do the same.

Market volatility can trigger herd instinct among investors

Herd instinct is a type of financial bias where people join groups to follow the actions of other people. When investing, it might mean you make similar investments to others or that you sell your investments when share prices fall. In fact, herd instinct at a large scale could lead to market crashes or create asset bubbles.

It’s easy to see why this happens. Being part of a crowd can offer a sense of comfort, especially during periods of uncertainty. In contrast, standing out from the crowd could mean you feel vulnerable or that you’re making a mistake by going against the grain.

So, following the crowd may feel like the sensible option. After all, if everyone else is doing it, it must be the right decision.

Yet, it’s not as straightforward as that. In fact, herd mentality could harm your long-term plans and wealth.

When following the lead of others, you might assume they’ve already carried out research, so you skip analysing the decision. The other investors could also be acting based on herd instinct or making a decision that’s right for them, but that doesn’t automatically mean it’s the right option for you.

3 useful strategies that could help you focus on your own path

While it can be difficult to not compare your investment decisions with those of others, remember, with different goals and circumstances a great investment for one investor isn’t right for another.

So, here are three useful strategies that could help you focus on following your own investment path.

1. Develop a clear investment plan

One of the key steps to reducing the effect of herd mentality on your decisions is to have a developed investment plan. By outlining your objectives, you’re in a better position to understand the types of opportunities that are right for you.

If you have confidence in your investment strategy, you’re also less likely to be tempted to make changes. For example, if you know your investments are on track to provide “enough” to reach your long-term goals, taking additional risk for a chance to secure higher returns might not be as appealing.

As a financial planner, we can help you create an investment plan that provides you with a clear direction.

2. Diversify your investments in a way that reflects your plan

One of the challenges of investing is keeping emotions in check. You’re more likely to follow the crowd when the market or your investments face a sharp fall or rise. It might mean you feel uncertain about the investments you’ve chosen, so you start to look at what others are doing.

Diversifying won’t shield you from all market movements, but it could mean you’re less exposed to volatility. By investing in different asset classes, sectors, and geographical areas, when one part of your portfolio experiences a dip, it could be balanced by gains in another. As a result, it may mean the value of your investments is less likely to experience large fluctuations and limit knee-jerk decisions.

3. Be aware of your investment risk profile

All investments involve some risk. However, the level of risk can vary significantly.

So, understanding risk could mean you’re able to confidently pass by opportunities that you know involve more risk than is appropriate for you even if it seems like everyone else is investing in it.

Contact us to talk about your tailored investment strategy

If you’d like to talk about how to invest in a way that aligns with your goals and circumstances, please get in touch. We can work with you to create a tailored investment strategy that may give you confidence in the steps you’re taking.

Please note:

This blog is for general information only and does not constitute financial advice, which should be based on your individual circumstances. The information is aimed at retail clients only.

Investments should be considered over the longer term and should fit in with your overall attitude to risk and financial circumstances.

While you might intend to make your financial decisions based on facts, emotions creeping in from time to time is normal. Recognising when emotions might be influencing your judgement could mean you’re better able to evaluate what’s right for you.

Last month, you read about how past experiences could affect your decisions. Now, read on to find out how emotions could do the same.

Your emotions may affect how you respond to different situations

Your emotional state can often affect how you feel about different situations. This, in turn, can change how you respond to financial decisions.

In some cases, your emotions might mean your choices don’t align with your long-term goals. For example, if you’re fearful that you’ll lose money during a market downturn, you might be more likely to sell investments impulsively and turn paper losses into a reality.

It’s not just “negative” emotions that could harm your decisions either.

Emotions that you might normally view positively could be harmful when they influence your financial decisions. For instance, feeling excited might mean you’re more likely to overlook red flags or skip seeking further information because you’re keen to get started.

Giving yourself time could help you avoid emotional investing

One of the simplest steps you can take to reduce the effect of emotions on your financial decisions is to give yourself some space and time.

Let’s say a friend is speaking to you about an opportunity they’ve come across and they’re encouraging you to invest. If you’re in a good mood and feeling confident, you might feel excited about the prospect of potential returns. But, if you’re already feeling anxious or down, you may be more likely to focus on the investment risks.

Giving yourself time to think through the different options could allow emotions to subside and present an opportunity to consider what’s driving your decision.

According to December 2024 research from the Financial Conduct Authority, rushing financial decisions is something many investors are guilty of at some point.

Indeed, two-thirds of investors aged between 18 and 40 spend less than 24 hours deciding on an investment, and 14% finalise their decisions in under an hour. Just 11% took more than a week to decide if an investment was right for them.

In many cases, rushing into a decision led to regret. 4 in 10 investors surveyed said they regret falling for investment hype. It’s likely emotions played a role in the initial decision that investors came to regret. For example, 32% said they feared missing out on a good opportunity and 26% were driven by the desire to feel good in the moment.

So, don’t rush into decisions but allow yourself at least a few days to carry out research, if necessary, consider the alternatives, and weigh up if it’s right for you.

Other steps could help you keep emotions out of your investment decisions too. You might:

Set out a financial plan. Having clear goals to work towards and a better understanding of the type of investments that could be appropriate for your circumstances is often useful
Focus on your long-term goals. This could reduce the chance of you reacting emotionally to short-term market movements
Diversify your investments. Spreading your money across multiple investment opportunities could mean you’re less exposed to market volatility and the emotions sharp rises or falls can cause.

While you can’t completely stop emotions affecting how you view different investment or financial opportunities, you can change how you respond to them. Taking steps like those above could mean you’re more in control and able to spot when emotions might be clouding your judgment.

Get in touch to talk about your financial plan

Working with a financial planner could help you reduce the impact emotions have on your financial decisions. Having an outside perspective may highlight when decisions don’t align with your goals or the financial plan you’ve previously set out.

If you’d like to arrange a meeting with one of our team, please get in touch.

Next month, check our blog to find out how biases could affect how you process financial information.

Please note:

This blog is for general information only and does not constitute financial advice, which should be based on your individual circumstances. The information is aimed at retail clients only.